Corona Virus are you ready?

bojangle

FN # 40
Staff member
hope its not as bad as op makes it out to be

if it is why dont we see ppl running for da hills meow? and besides we got like 3 threads bout dis virus meow

It's one of those things where we won't know how bad it is here locally until it's too late. It spreads rapidly, likely before symptoms are present. We already have two community spread bay area cases and a third community spread case in Portland Oregon from unknown origins.

I'm expecting more cases to start exponentially in the coming days, weeks, and months. The death rate is estimated at 1 per 100, as compared to the seasonal flu at 1 per 1,000. It's still a bit too early, locally, for people to start panicking.

I think containment will be really tough and medical facilities can be quickly overwhelmed.
 

Snaggy

Well-known member
I'm doomed. I'm in my 60's, have asthma, and walk into small rooms with sick people 400 times a month. I'll post something profound before they put me on the ventilator. Today some 4 year old kid with a fever kept spitting at me. If that's the face of death, I want to talk to the manager. Survive all those fool moments on motorcycles, to go like this? Isn't fair.
 
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1962siia

Well-known member
We've done a solid costco run. Rice, quinoa, canned goods, olive oil, snack bars, beef jerky, tp, pain meds, cold/flu meds, emergen-c stuff. Worried about the older folks in my life, like mom and mother in law. Mrs1962 has been warning about something like this for years. Hang in there folks!
 

Butch

poseur
Staff member
Got 1000's of rounds of ammo in case the infected rise again as zombies. :twofinger

I might have that hidden in many waterproof well concealed places. Plus lots long shelf life food and water. And fuel for the mortars, and incendinary devices.

Just kidding.
 
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mrzuzzo

Well-known member
I bought face masks on eBay but it was $70 for 10 of the N95 3M with the cool valve. $7 not too bad.

Will resell for $100 each when the pandemic hits.
 

Toast

Well-known member
It's one of those things where we won't know how bad it is here locally until it's too late. It spreads rapidly, likely before symptoms are present. We already have two community spread bay area cases and a third community spread case in Portland Oregon from unknown origins.

I'm expecting more cases to start exponentially in the coming days, weeks, and months. The death rate is estimated at 1 per 100, as compared to the seasonal flu at 1 per 1,000. It's still a bit too early, locally, for people to start panicking.

I think containment will be really tough and medical facilities can be quickly overwhelmed.

Yeah, we really don't know enough yet, who knows what's really going on in China and we won't see how bad it is here yet for another week or two.

The scary thing is that the other closely related corona viruses like SARS and MERS have substantially higher mortality rates than the 2% they are saying now. In the completed cases for Covid-19 (recovered or otherwise), about 10% have died from it, which matches the mortality rate of SARS. They are saying 2% for covid-19 because its speculated that the majority have minor symptoms and never get treated, but again they don't really know. The rate of infected is already exponentially higher than SARS/MERS ever was.
 

bojangle

FN # 40
Staff member
Yeah, we really don't know enough yet, who knows what's really going on in China and we won't see how bad it is here yet for another week or two.

The scary thing is that the other closely related corona viruses like SARS and MERS have substantially higher mortality rates than the 2% they are saying now. In the completed cases for Covid-19 (recovered or otherwise), about 10% have died from it, which matches the mortality rate of SARS. They are saying 2% for covid-19 because its speculated that the majority have minor symptoms and never get treated, but again they don't really know. The rate of infected is already exponentially higher than SARS/MERS ever was.

Yes, and that's scary. MERS had a fatality rate of 1/3. I've seen the numbers of recovered cases and the death percentage is much higher than the 1% estimate I read. The experts really don't know yet. I just read an estimate that 85% of infected people will experience mild to no symptoms.
 

Blankpage

alien
Hope its not like the flu with a new strain every year where having it the year before offers no protection for the current year.
 

Lazerus

Pissant squid
Yes, and that's scary. MERS had a fatality rate of 1/3. I've seen the numbers of recovered cases and the death percentage is much higher than the 1% estimate I read. The experts really don't know yet. I just read an estimate that 85% of infected people will experience mild to no symptoms.


They're even waffling on source animal etc.

Hopefully it won't be as bad as it looks, BUT, I'd recommend chatting with your neighbors. Having stuff is great, everybody around you also having stuff is even better though.
 

Butch

poseur
Staff member
From Supe Cortese

Dear Community,

Santa Clara County’s Public Health Officer, Dr. Sarah Cody, announced on Friday, February 28, that a third case of the COVID-19 has been confirmed in the County, and most significantly, that it is not related to the other two cases reported earlier.
This means that the third case, an older adult woman, had no known exposure to the virus through travel or close contact with a known infected individual. This case is important because it signals that now is the time to change course and prepare for the possibility of widespread community transmission
Contact me:
Supervisor Dave Cortese
70 W. Hedding St., 10th floor
San Jose, CA 95110
(408) 299-5030
dave.cortese@bos.sccgov.org
www.supervisorcortese.org

Image
The individual in the third case is a woman with chronic health conditions who was hospitalized for a respiratory illness. The County Public Health Laboratory performed tests on Thursday, confirming the virus, and the department has been working to identify any contacts she may have had with others.
The County will continue to use the methods it has taken so far when a case is confirmed -- isolation, quarantine, contract tracing and travel restrictions. These are known to help slow the spread of the disease. Also, the County Health Laboratory can now run tests for the virus.

There are things we as individuals can do, as well:

Keep your hands clean, always cover your cough and stay home when you are sick.
Start working on not touching your face because viruses spread when you touch your own mouth, nose or eyes.
Since we know the disease is here, stay away from people who are sick.
Start thinking about family preparedness, for example, a room to isolate a sick person.

In the community settings:

Schools should plan for absenteeism and explore options for tele-learning. Also, keep surfaces clean.
Businesses, whenever possible, should replace in-person meetings with video or telephone conferences, increase teleworking options and permit workers to stay home if they are sick.

The Public Health Department is working closely with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other partners to keep informed as the new coronavirus situation changes. The Department has also dedicated a Public Health web page to keep us informed with daily updates, along with providing a FAQ in four languages.

If you have questions, please call the Public Health Department at 408-885-4214 or my office at 408-299-5030. You can email me at dave.cortese@bos.sccgov.org.
 

Bay Arean

Well-known member
I have Kaiser.
I'm pretty much fucked.

I am supposed to go to WC Kaiser for a routine blood test. But you know, I am actually thinking that going to a hospital right now is the scariest place in terms of possible exposure. Tell me why not.
 

byke

Well-known member
Went to Kaiser Davis a few weeks ago and there were sick people coughing outwardly everywhere. Don't think I'd go for a routine anything right now.
 
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