Hurricane Florence

Kestrel

Kestrel

Well-known member
I was out sailing this past weekend... Did some maintenance Friday, and then 24 hours out on the water from Saturday AM to Sunday AM.

zpK7eEdl.jpg


The boat (Westsail 32) is kept right off the Intracoastal Waterway in Southport, NC. Doubled the dock lines, and secured everything as best we could. Removed as much as we could from exterior of the boat. We knew Florence was out there, but the path was still relatively unknown at that time.

JWSO8Qtl.jpg


At this point, it looks like landfall will be made slightly south of Southport. Any route more to the north gives us a chance when it comes to storm surge, especially due to the marina's somewhat sheltered location. (Southport Marina in Southport, NC). Unfortunately, the current estimated path of travel is one of the worst for us, and will probably result in 15-20 of feet of storm surge. The floating docks will certainly be lifted off the pilings, at which point...

The boat is tough, and has made multiple crossings.

But... I honestly don't think it's going to survive this storm. :(
 
Mike95060

Mike95060

Work In Progress
Hang in there Kestrel. This time of year makes me nervous for my family on the East coast. I hope you guy make it through ok.
 
doc4216

doc4216

Coastie who high fives
Good luck Krestel! Looks like I’m going to have a tropical storm over my house in Summerville, SC on Sunday��

Thinking of all in NC and SC this week/weekend.
 
msethhunter

msethhunter

Well-known member
Fuck man, this is a big storm. Good luck. Obviously it's way to late to sail South or North.

I hope to come back to this thread and find the boat in one piece. *fingers crossed*
 
Kestrel

Kestrel

Well-known member
Too late at this point to consider moving somewhere. There are evacuation orders in place in some counties - they may not even let you pass through.

NHC has a nice interactive map available here.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/092830.shtml?gm_track#contents

South of Wilmington, NC is the exit of the Cape Fear river. Southport is right on that point. Due to the nature of a counterclockwise rotating system, storm surge on the East coast is going to be the very worst in the "upper right" quadrant of a hurricane. Other areas of a hurricane may have high winds, but those winds might be blowing the water back away from the shore, for example... If the hurricane made landfall to the north, we'd have a chance.


But... it's looking like we'll be getting the worst of it. If you zoom in with the tool, you can see that the path of travel now is projected to pass about 10-20 miles off the coast. There is some low lying land, some houses etc, but now you're talking about storm surge from the eye wall....

Current forecast shows the eye wall passing through the area around noon on Friday. 100mph sustained winds, gusting to 130+. And sadly, the time of strongest wind will actually coincide with high tide. That's as bad as it gets.

Maybe the lines will snap, the mast will get ripped off, and it'll happily end up in somebody's front yard. At least that way, there's a chance.
 
mototireguy

mototireguy

Moto Tire Veteran
How are you Carolina guys prepping?

Hunker bunker down mode?

Relocate further inland?

Singing in the rain?
 
Blankpage

Blankpage

alien
If I were building a new house anywhere along the east coast I'd probably look into assembling it with screws instead of nails. I'm not a carpenter so I'm not really sure how practical or expensive that would be. However a blown to pieces home would certainly be a hit to the wallet also.
 
Mike95060

Mike95060

Work In Progress
Blankpage said:
If I were building a new house anywhere along the east coast I'd probably look into assembling it with screws instead of nails. I'm not a carpenter so I'm not really sure how practical or expensive that would be. However a blown to pieces home would certainly be a hit to the wallet also.
Click to expand...

You would also consider putting it 30' up on pilings. Storm surge is a mother fucker.

Outer-Banks-Trip-by-Elizabeth-Friske-Photography_0001.jpg



youtu.be/xXd0wiiwXRU

The homes in the vid are probably still a total loss.
 
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aminalmutha

aminalmutha

Well-known member
Blankpage said:
If I were building a new house anywhere along the east coast I'd probably look into assembling it with screws instead of nails. I'm not a carpenter so I'm not really sure how practical or expensive that would be. However a blown to pieces home would certainly be a hit to the wallet also.
Click to expand...

Or brick or concrete blocks.
 
S

Sharxfan

Well-known member
I wish luck and safety to all the peeps in the path of that hurricane.

I am keeping my fingers crossed that we don't get one here in the Gulf this season. I was hoping with all the activity in the Pacific that the Atlantic season would be depressed, but damn September came in with a bang and hopefully it doesn't sustain this pace for the rest of the season. :thumbdown
 
JesasaurusRex

JesasaurusRex

Deleted User
Sharxfan said:
I wish luck and safety to all the peeps in the path of that hurricane.

I am keeping my fingers crossed that we don't get one here in the Gulf this season. I was hoping with all the activity in the Pacific that the Atlantic season would be depressed, but damn September came in with a bang and hopefully it doesn't sustain this pace for the rest of the season. :thumbdown
Click to expand...

x2, seems like Harvey was just here
 
MrIncredible

MrIncredible

Is fintastic
Blankpage said:
If I were building a new house anywhere along the east coast I'd probably look into assembling it with screws instead of nails. I'm not a carpenter so I'm not really sure how practical or expensive that would be. However a blown to pieces home would certainly be a hit to the wallet also.
Click to expand...

I was under the impression nails are stronger in sheer.

The bigger danger is the water, not the winds. You end up with a layer of water on everything. It's also not just...storm water-it's anything that can be washed away-all sorts of waste, human and otherwise.
 
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