Anticipation, the acquired 6th sense

moto-rama

Well-known member
Webster says it's:
1. visualization of a future event or state
2.a prior action that takes into account or forestalls a later action
3.the act of looking forward

It's also what the proficient rider develops over time and miles, the ability to make decisions based on previous experience and observation. It's an encyclopedia of situations, conditions and circumstances that gets hard wired into the brain over the years.

Example:
I have ridden the Shoreline Highway between Mill Valley and Tomales a great number of times, over the past 41 years. I have a photographic record of every turn, bump, pothole, former pothole, landslide, elevation change, the little seasonal nuances like streams that drain across the road, the places where trucks cut corners and spew gravel in to the roadway, even where the Kingfisher sits waiting for his daily fish breakfast.
I have a record of all the repairs, re-pavings, the texture and feel of the different colors of asphalt used over the years.

The more I ride this road and take in the experience, the better able I am to know what may lie around the next bend. I am able to anticipate what may be next and am ready to take it on.

This applies to all types of riding, too. Whether you are a daily commuter or weekend canyon carver or track rat, over time and miles you get that 6th sense of riding, Anticipation.

It isn't something you are granted when you first throw a leg over a bike and let out the clutch. It's something you acquire, a skill, a tool, a co-pilot that rides with you and keeps you out of harm's way, it makes you faster in competition, it keeps you alive to ride again.

Much has been said about Experience VS Skill and variations on that theme, and there is little argument on whether experience can make you a better rider. But what exactly do you get from experience?

You get more skilled at handling a motorcycle, assuming you have the right kind of experience and training. You get better at managing the way you interact with traffic, or other riders on the track.

But you get that priceless thing called Anticipation, too.

You are already thinking about the next thing, the next turn, the next situation, and over time you sort of "just know" what to expect when given a set of factors, and this gives you the 6th Sense of riding.

As Webster says, "The act of looking forward"
 
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DefyInertia

Original Saratogian
Someone on here has a quote in their signature that says "a supurb rider is the one that can avoid situations that require supurb skill" or something like that....
 

Ricke16

Rookie
i just barely started riding, but on a 250 ninja im looking out for my fucking life!.. a bus almost hit me today because he was turning into the road after a stop at the bus stop, and didnt see me -.-..... but i understand what your are saying, i am learning to look out for everything and anything that will come my way.. i remember pot holes, man holes, and remember which lane to position myself in everytime i go down a certain street. Im glad MSF, and BARF are advocating safety a lot.. im only 18 but i think i ride like i have a lot of experience because i think of safety always.. i.e.. for my first month of owning my 250 ninja i put over 300 miles riding aroudn my block and around parking lots and empty neighborhoods.. never more than 10 miles away from my house, never on streets i do not know.
 

CYPHER1102

Well-known member
i just barely started riding, but on a 250 ninja im looking out for my fucking life!.. a bus almost hit me today because he was turning into the road after a stop at the bus stop, and didnt see me -.-..... but i understand what your are saying, i am learning to look out for everything and anything that will come my way.. i remember pot holes, man holes, and remember which lane to position myself in everytime i go down a certain street. Im glad MSF, and BARF are advocating safety a lot.. im only 18 but i think i ride like i have a lot of experience because i think of safety always.. i.e.. for my first month of owning my 250 ninja i put over 300 miles riding aroudn my block and around parking lots and empty neighborhoods.. never more than 10 miles away from my house, never on streets i do not know.

yea something happen to me today at half moon bay. it was a sunny day so i guess everyone is out. i was going down highway 1 towards SF when a truck making a right turn decided that he can even though i/we had the right of way because of the green light. but i was able to tell that he was going to do that because the direction of his wheel and the speed he was coming into the intersection.

my rule is to always look up and pay attention to ANY car that is visible and always pretend that they will come into your lane :thumbup
 

boney

Miles > Posts
i just barely started riding, but on a 250 ninja im looking out for my fucking life!.. a bus almost hit me today because he was turning into the road after a stop at the bus stop, and didnt see me -.-..... but i understand what your are saying, i am learning to look out for everything and anything that will come my way.. i remember pot holes, man holes, and remember which lane to position myself in everytime i go down a certain street. Im glad MSF, and BARF are advocating safety a lot.. im only 18 but i think i ride like i have a lot of experience because i think of safety always.. i.e.. for my first month of owning my 250 ninja i put over 300 miles riding aroudn my block and around parking lots and empty neighborhoods.. never more than 10 miles away from my house, never on streets i do not know.


Right! Now your experience tells you that a stopped bus pulls from the curb without looking for motorcycles (or caring when they do see one.) Next time you'll be able to anticipate that. Here's a little tip: all the yellow lights on a bus flash when the doors are open. If they're not flashing you can anticipate that the bus will move without notice.
 

littlebeast

get it while it's easy
anticipation, or foresight, is only as good as an individual riders ability to process information as fast - hopefully faster - than they are moving. the more aggressive you are riding, the volume of information - and the speed at which it needs to be processed, are increased. iirc - there has been some great information written about this being a distinguishing factor for top tier racers - the ability to process information quickly.

so what about us mere mortals? seems pretty straight-forward. don't ride faster than you can think.
 

silversvs

Lean, Twist, repeat.....
Anticipation - the acquired sixth sense

I work to fine tune that sixth sense daily. I call it riding defensively, and concentrating on my riding. When street riding you cannot afford to be daydreaming, thinking about what's for lunch, or letting your mind wander. You need to be focused on the roadway in front of you, and looking as far ahead of you as possible.

I try to anticipate the actions of every vehicle around me. I am constantly running scenarios as to what each vehicle might do, and how I would react to that manuever. I constantly plan and replan escape routes, to make sure I am leaving myself a viable option should I need it.

I adjust my speed and position on the roadway in anticipation of what others may or may not be doing.

Every cross street, driveway, and corner holds the potential for an "oh shit' moment where someone or something can present a danger to me.

I like the word "anticipation" but I see it as more of an act of "preplanning."

Riding enforcement 10 hours a day you get to practice "preplanning" a lot. And it saves my bacon often. It has become second nature to me and I do see it as kind of a sixth sense in that my preplans occur just as I visualized them. In this case I don't have to take that extra split second to think about my response to the hazzard, I just respond to it and avoid it.

Surface appraisal is the same. There are roads in town that I travel more than ten times a day, yet I constantly evaluate the surface. It can change in a heartbeat just by having a passing vehicle spill something. There are so many locations in town that I have etched in my memory because I am aware of a hazzard located there. There is a transition piece where they have built a railroad overpass that includes an elevation change, a surface change, and a slight curve. Hit that spot on my Harley at +50 and it is an immediate tank slapper. There are several gas stations in town where semis fuel up. They often spill diesel fuel as they leave the station. Diesel is nearly impossible to see on the roadway and is slippery as snot. I instinctively move to avoid those areas when I ride by.

As to the OP's original post, I totally agree :thumbup The more you can "anticipate" or "preplan" for the environment you are riding in, the safer your ride will be.
 

Carlo

Kickstart Enthusiast
anticipation, or foresight, is only as good as an individual riders ability to process information as fast - hopefully faster - than they are moving. the more aggressive you are riding, the volume of information - and the speed at which it needs to be processed, are increased. iirc - there has been some great information written about this being a distinguishing factor for top tier racers - the ability to process information quickly.

so what about us mere mortals? seems pretty straight-forward. don't ride faster than you can think.


I was going to reply with a similar thought to that. Taking in and processing information quickly is what it's all about.
This extends to beyond just roads that you know intimately and ride on frequently. It also applies to a lot more than just road conditions.
I've only ridden highway one (the stretch between Bolinas and Tomales) a couple of times a year since about 1995, but I've had no surprises, even though I don't see the incremental, day-to-day changes. I know the places where the road is likely to have new potholes, certain hillsides where there are likely to be shifts in the underlying ground, near creekbeds, and the bottoms of canyons...
I don't know what happened there since last July, but I know that something might have, and I know where it might be, so I approach the place a bit more cautiously than I would if I'd been past it yesterday.
This can even apply to roads you've never been on. The same sorts of terrain in one area are likely to have the same sorts of issues on roads in another area.
Perception and processing of information will also apply to riding in heavy traffic. Don't just look at a car in the other lane and note whether it has the turn signal on, take a quick glance at the driver, try to make eye contact if you can see the rearview mirror (this will tell you that they're looking in the mirror for some reason). Most drivers give out very subtle cues to suggest what they're about to do. Learning to recognise those cues requires many hours of riding in traffic, and even a few close calls or outright crashes.
This can become like a 6th sense; I've occasionally had this feeling that a driver near me was going to make a move that endangered me, even though there was no overt indication like a turn signal or brake light that suggested what they were going to do. I always act on those feelings. Sometimes it turns out to be nothing, so I slowed down and adjusted my lane position for no reason. Other times, the driver did exactly what my feeling said they were going to do, and I was prepared to avoid the situation where failure to anticipate the move beforehand would have resulted in a crash.
 

moto-rama

Well-known member
Surface appraisal is the same. There are roads in town that I travel more than ten times a day, yet I constantly evaluate the surface. It can change in a heartbeat just by having a passing vehicle spill something.

This is a great facet of anticipation, something I do more or less unconsciously but it is tuned to a whole spectrum of factors, including road temperature, texture, and even the condition and temperature of my tires and the personality of my suspension settings.

Some call that "seat of my pants" awareness or similar but it basically translates to the Zen-ness of being part of the bike and the bike being an extension of the rider when in motion.
 

Burning1

I'm scareoused!
anticipation, or foresight, is only as good as an individual riders ability to process information as fast - hopefully faster - than they are moving. the more aggressive you are riding, the volume of information - and the speed at which it needs to be processed, are increased. iirc - there has been some great information written about this being a distinguishing factor for top tier racers - the ability to process information quickly.

so what about us mere mortals? seems pretty straight-forward. don't ride faster than you can think.

I've found the opposite is also true. Below a certain speed, involvement in the riding experience drops off, and it becomes a struggle to keep my attention on the ride. I tend to miss things that I might have noticed at a more comfortable pace. A warning about that was offered during the Ride 4 Kids.
 

moto-rama

Well-known member
I've found the opposite is also true. Below a certain speed, involvement in the riding experience drops off, and it becomes a struggle to keep my attention on the ride. I tend to miss things that I might have noticed at a more comfortable pace. A warning about that was offered during the Ride 4 Kids.

Interesting observation...and true, too.

Ever notice how bad the service is in a restaurant with only a few customers?
it's like that ...kind of.
 

louemc

Well-known member
Fantastic job of expressing this Jim. Especially because it involves the sub-conscious (faster than conscious) and experience that rules what to do with what is seen, ahead of time.
 

louemc

Well-known member
so what about us mere mortals? seems pretty straight-forward. don't ride faster than you can think.


Well, Yes (as Clint Eastwood said, "ya gotta know your limits" , or something like that) But.... working on your limits in a safe place to do that, and time, lots of time, does a wonderful thing to the brain, builds paths in the "circuits" that speed up the abilities.

Mladin said at a race interview, that to go as fast as he (and the others with him) you had to get into a "state" of just doing it. You could NOT think about what you were going to do. That was so slow, you couldn't be "ahead" of your bike, that way.

The fast racers, have ways of slowing things down as well, where they look, with the prime focus, (and aware outside of the place of prime focus) is one.

What would that have to do with a street rider? Everything. I have to believe that most (by a huge margin) crashes happen when things are happening too fast for the biker to handle.
 

Cheyenne

Well-known member
I used to find myself slowing down on tight mountain roads for no reason...then a car would be coming the other way.

I figured out that I was seeing tiny flashes of sunlight reflecting off their windshield through the trees, and getting a subconscious signal to back off.

I also have slowed down for "no reason" many times, and come around a corner to find some situation or other...I assume I'm seeing brake lights in these cases, as it's at night...but it's still not me seeing the lights and slowing, it's that I find myself slowing, then there is a reason to slow.

Trust your instinct to slow down!
 

moto-rama

Well-known member
Trust your instinct to slow down!

This used to happen to me frequently...just before encountering a traffic LEO, usually way out in the boons.
My friend Erik was amazed that my premonitions were more accurate than his Valentine1 detector.:)
:ride
 

Cycle61

What the shit is this...
I used to find myself slowing down on tight mountain roads for no reason...then a car would be coming the other way.

I've had this happen on Calaveras, my particular favorite blind and twisting road, a number of times. I suddenly get the feeling, coming into a turn, that I need to stay far away from the (non-existent) centerline, and then within a turn or two there's a cage drifting wide onto my third of the road.
 

Coffae

Crash Test Dummy
i just barely started riding, but on a 250 ninja im looking out for my fucking life!.. a bus almost hit me today because he was turning into the road after a stop at the bus stop, and didnt see me -.-..... but i understand what your are saying, i am learning to look out for everything and anything that will come my way.. i remember pot holes, man holes, and remember which lane to position myself in everytime i go down a certain street. Im glad MSF, and BARF are advocating safety a lot.. im only 18 but i think i ride like i have a lot of experience because i think of safety always.. i.e.. for my first month of owning my 250 ninja i put over 300 miles riding aroudn my block and around parking lots and empty neighborhoods.. never more than 10 miles away from my house, never on streets i do not know.
This is actually more of what I expected when "visualization" was in the title. Seeing a "Watch for deer" sign and visualizing what you would do if a deer were to jump into the road ahead of you... Riding in traffic nearby parked cars and half expecting a car door to open, a pedestrian jump out in the street, a bus pulling out as you near it...

Key to this is "seat time" that builds muscle memory. You can anticipate every situation that may occur to you, but if you don't know how you "should" react, you will be frozen and helpless to performing evasive action.

It should be automatic--first look away from the threat to where you will be safe. It could be to the left, to the right or even (if it is impossible to avoid)--over the threat. Looking where you want to be is essential to survival in an emergency situation. Lastly, taking the evasive action you just visualized.

Learn your bike, how it handles and what it (and you) are capable of. Visualize yourself and the bike moving around threats. Lastly, visualize looking in your mirror safely around the danger and swearing at the a-- who "almost" got you. :ride
 

Freeride

Well-known member
This is a great thread.
I like to think that if you always ride expecting the unexpected, then you're rarely surprised and taken off-guard. It's saved me quite a few times in my 26+ years of riding.

RIDE SAFE. RIDE SMART.
 

Banjoboy

Get over yerself!!!
Great thread Jimbo.
That's one of the best things I got out of the Kieth Code books; I recall where he says to look at an object in the room, yet be aware of all the peripheral stuff. Been practicing this for over 25 yrs, and it really helps to tune the 6th sense.
Someone on here has a quote in their signature that says "a superb rider is the one that can avoid situations that require superb skill" or something like that....
More great stuff, this is what I was trying to convey in a recent "anti lock brakes are the best thing since sliced bread thread."
some of us were lucky(?) enough to start out on crappy biased ply tires, (I think Harley still uses those?) sucky drum brakes, and shitty fish oil suspensions. If ya wanted ta keep the shiny side up, you had ta have the 6th sense; you had to anticipate what was going to happen before it did, and not rely on fancy gizmotry.

I've found the opposite is also true. Below a certain speed, involvement in the riding experience drops off, and it becomes a struggle to keep my attention on the ride. I tend to miss things that I might have noticed at a more comfortable pace. A warning about that was offered during the Ride 4 Kids.
^THIS^
I feel this is a big problem not just with motos but driving in general, and why the speed limits are lame. The freeways actually became safer when we raised the speed limits from 55 to 70.
The faster people drive, (most) the more focused they become. This is definitely true for me. (Until 150, the my brain can't keep up anymore.) :laughing
 
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