DataDan
Mama says he's bona fide
Budman: The French study is potentially valuable to US lane-splitting advocates, and it would be helpful to them if AMA could fund an English translation. The end result noted in this thread's OP and the Visordown article--the government banning splitting--is just stoopid (but then, it's government, the wellspring of stoopid). Turns out, the crash increase used to justify the ban was concentrated in one location, where traffic had increased substantially on one affected road, the Bordeaux beltway, and was not seen in the other ten experimental locations.
I spent the better part of the morning Google-translating the report summary (French language source as PDF here) and twisting my brain around the convoluted syntax of the automated translation. Here is possibly readable rendering, but then I think I've temporarily lost the ability to judge readable English. Proceed at your own risk.
Traffic experiment
Motorcycle lane splitting
Assessment report - January 2021
The experiment was conducted on highways in 11 departments (states or provinces) in France 2016-2018. In addition, one other department was used as a control--i.e. no experimental intervention. The purpose was to frame the widespread practice among motorcyclists and assess the effects of legalization and the supervision of this practice.
For the purpose of the experiment, lane-splitting best practice was defined as between the two leftmost lanes at a maximum speed of 50 km/h or 31mph. This was communicated to motorcyclists and was used in analyzing crashes. Riding outside the leftmost and rightmost lanes was explicitly excluded.
Crashes analyzed
The overall motorcycle accident rate decreased by 10% throughout France between the initial state (2012-2014) and the years of experimentation (2016-2018). Motorcyclist deaths, which declined in the years preceding the start of the experiment, stabilized between 734 and 786 during the experiment. Motorcycle crashes in the departments where the experiment was conducted (not just on the experimental roadways, the highways) decreased by 10%, while it increased by 12% on highways and in the control zone.
A sample of 4500 motorcycle crashes in the experimental areas was studied, 1827 of which were lane-splitting, 16 fatal (0.9% fatalities, compared to 1.2% in the California lane-splitting study). All of the fatalities occurred at speed above 50 km/h.
Of the lane-splitting crashes studied, 90% occurred between the two leftmost lanes. The most common crash scenario was the lane-change cutoff familiar to California splitters.
In most of the roadways involved in the experiment, lane-splitting crashes increased slightly over the study period, but in one department, Gironde, they climbed from 13 in 2015 (the year before the experiment) to 57 in 2018 (last year of the experiment). Over the same period on the same roads in Gironde, all motorcycle crashes increased from 310 to 480. It should be noted that a strong annual increase in road traffic is noted on the ring road, which concentrates 90% of 2WD accidents. (I expect that "ring road" refers to the beltway round Bordeaux, by far the largest city in Gironde with a population of 257,000.)
Those who follow best practices are a minority, but growing
The evaluation compares the behavior of motorcyclists users in the experimental areas before the experiment (2015) and during the experiment (2016-2018).
Although remaining in the minority, the combined respect for positioning and speed rules tends to improve over time. during the experiment, especially on the Paris ring road.
More than 80% of splitters stick to the 1-2 corridor.
Regarding lane-splitting speeds on the lane 1-2 corridor, there is a clear general improvement across all 10 experimental observation sites (23% follow the 50 km/h limit in 2015 and 40% in 2018). A more detailed analysis in Gironde made it possible to establish that the speed differential is between 20 and 30 km/h (12-18 mph). The proportion of large excess speed (> 20 km / h) is, for its part, decreasing (20% in 2015; 9% in 2018).
Awareness of the experiment
Three waves of surveys were done during the experiment, with 450 drivers and 450 motorcyclists as subjects. Most were unaware of the experiment, but in some of the experimental areas, awareness neared 50%. Motorists have the feeling that the experiment does not concern them or only slightly. Two thirds of car drivers believe it's up to motorcyclists to modify their driving. However, the principle of lane splitting remains well accepted both by motorcyclists and also by light vehicle users.
There is an annual increase in motorcyclists who state that they practice lane-splitting as well as a steady increase in those who claim to be in visual contact with other drivers on highways and expressways in the experimental areas.
Training
The experimentation decree provided that rules governing lane splitting are incorporated into the teaching of driving any vehicle admitted to drive on public roads. This was followed up with interviews of instructors and students. Instructor both within and beyond the experimental regions are aware of the defined best practices, but the information is presented more in the experimental areas than outside.
Conclusion
In the end, the experiment had positive effects in terms of behavior although the behavior respecting the best-practice rules remains in the minority. It helped to strengthen the pedagogy although there is still room for improvement. Motorcycle lane-splitting within the rules of the experiment is well accepted, including by drivers of light vehicles. The accident results seem to indicate a trend of a slight increase in injury accidents related to lane splitting within and outside of best practices, with the exception of Gironde where a tripling of injury accidents as part of a wider trend of increasing 2WD accidents.
I spent the better part of the morning Google-translating the report summary (French language source as PDF here) and twisting my brain around the convoluted syntax of the automated translation. Here is possibly readable rendering, but then I think I've temporarily lost the ability to judge readable English. Proceed at your own risk.
Traffic experiment
Motorcycle lane splitting
Assessment report - January 2021
The experiment was conducted on highways in 11 departments (states or provinces) in France 2016-2018. In addition, one other department was used as a control--i.e. no experimental intervention. The purpose was to frame the widespread practice among motorcyclists and assess the effects of legalization and the supervision of this practice.
For the purpose of the experiment, lane-splitting best practice was defined as between the two leftmost lanes at a maximum speed of 50 km/h or 31mph. This was communicated to motorcyclists and was used in analyzing crashes. Riding outside the leftmost and rightmost lanes was explicitly excluded.
Crashes analyzed
The overall motorcycle accident rate decreased by 10% throughout France between the initial state (2012-2014) and the years of experimentation (2016-2018). Motorcyclist deaths, which declined in the years preceding the start of the experiment, stabilized between 734 and 786 during the experiment. Motorcycle crashes in the departments where the experiment was conducted (not just on the experimental roadways, the highways) decreased by 10%, while it increased by 12% on highways and in the control zone.
A sample of 4500 motorcycle crashes in the experimental areas was studied, 1827 of which were lane-splitting, 16 fatal (0.9% fatalities, compared to 1.2% in the California lane-splitting study). All of the fatalities occurred at speed above 50 km/h.
Of the lane-splitting crashes studied, 90% occurred between the two leftmost lanes. The most common crash scenario was the lane-change cutoff familiar to California splitters.
In most of the roadways involved in the experiment, lane-splitting crashes increased slightly over the study period, but in one department, Gironde, they climbed from 13 in 2015 (the year before the experiment) to 57 in 2018 (last year of the experiment). Over the same period on the same roads in Gironde, all motorcycle crashes increased from 310 to 480. It should be noted that a strong annual increase in road traffic is noted on the ring road, which concentrates 90% of 2WD accidents. (I expect that "ring road" refers to the beltway round Bordeaux, by far the largest city in Gironde with a population of 257,000.)
Those who follow best practices are a minority, but growing
The evaluation compares the behavior of motorcyclists users in the experimental areas before the experiment (2015) and during the experiment (2016-2018).
Although remaining in the minority, the combined respect for positioning and speed rules tends to improve over time. during the experiment, especially on the Paris ring road.
More than 80% of splitters stick to the 1-2 corridor.
Regarding lane-splitting speeds on the lane 1-2 corridor, there is a clear general improvement across all 10 experimental observation sites (23% follow the 50 km/h limit in 2015 and 40% in 2018). A more detailed analysis in Gironde made it possible to establish that the speed differential is between 20 and 30 km/h (12-18 mph). The proportion of large excess speed (> 20 km / h) is, for its part, decreasing (20% in 2015; 9% in 2018).
Awareness of the experiment
Three waves of surveys were done during the experiment, with 450 drivers and 450 motorcyclists as subjects. Most were unaware of the experiment, but in some of the experimental areas, awareness neared 50%. Motorists have the feeling that the experiment does not concern them or only slightly. Two thirds of car drivers believe it's up to motorcyclists to modify their driving. However, the principle of lane splitting remains well accepted both by motorcyclists and also by light vehicle users.
There is an annual increase in motorcyclists who state that they practice lane-splitting as well as a steady increase in those who claim to be in visual contact with other drivers on highways and expressways in the experimental areas.
Training
The experimentation decree provided that rules governing lane splitting are incorporated into the teaching of driving any vehicle admitted to drive on public roads. This was followed up with interviews of instructors and students. Instructor both within and beyond the experimental regions are aware of the defined best practices, but the information is presented more in the experimental areas than outside.
Conclusion
In the end, the experiment had positive effects in terms of behavior although the behavior respecting the best-practice rules remains in the minority. It helped to strengthen the pedagogy although there is still room for improvement. Motorcycle lane-splitting within the rules of the experiment is well accepted, including by drivers of light vehicles. The accident results seem to indicate a trend of a slight increase in injury accidents related to lane splitting within and outside of best practices, with the exception of Gironde where a tripling of injury accidents as part of a wider trend of increasing 2WD accidents.